Friday, October 31, 2008
ENPR Prediction: Obama Narrow Win, Dems 58 Senate Seats, 254 House Seats
Making predictions about elections is difficult: the voters could always throw a curve and act differently than we imagine they will. But I thought this a good and sensible overview of how the election on Tuesday might go.
1. Sen. Barack Obama is poised to be the nation's first black president, winning by a narrow margin, and enjoying very large Democratic majorities in both chambers of Congress--but short of 60 seats in the Senate.
2. House Republicans face another slaughter. Democrats will make double-digit net gains, possibly pushing 30 seats. Many GOP incumbents are in danger, and Democrats are dominating in the open seats."